Wolfsburg und Borussia Dortmund werden beide versuchen, die Enttäuschungen der Champions League unter der Woche hinter sich zu lassen, wenn sie am Samstagnachmittag in der Volkswagen Arena die Bundesliga-Aktion antreten.
Die Gastgeber fielen am Dienstagabend unter ihrem neuen Chef in Sevilla zu ihrer ersten Niederlage, während die Besucher nach einer Niederlage in Lissabon am Mittwoch fast bestätigten, dass sie die KO-Phase nicht erreicht hatten.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.