Nach den Niederlagen in der vergangenen Woche kehren die Staats- und Regierungschefs der Serie A Napoli mit dem Besuch der südlichen Rivalen Lazio am Sonntag im Stadio Maradona zum nationalen Einsatz zurück.
Auf einen Verlust in der ersten Liga durch Inter folgte eine schockierte Umkehrung der Europa League für Luciano Spalletti, während es ihren römischen Kollegen auf dem Kontinent besser ging, nachdem sie von Juventus geschlagen wurden.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.