Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.