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NederlandNach einem unvergesslichen Heimsieg am vergangenen Wochenende unternimmt Fiorentina am Samstag den Kurztrip nach Empoli, während sich die beiden Rivalen der Serie A zu einem toskanischen Derby treffen.
Beide Teams übertreffen die bisherigen Erwartungen in dieser Saison, da die Viola beim Sieg über Mailand nur einen Punkt unter dem fünften Platz liegt, während ihre Gastgeber bereits fünfmal gewonnen haben, um sich in die Sicherheit des Mid-Tisches zu bringen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
