Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.