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NederlandBorussia Dortmund war bereits aus dem Kampf um den letzten 16 Platz und begrüßte ausgeschiedene Besiktas am Dienstag in der Champions League im Westfalenstadion.
Während Dortmund in Gruppe C Dritter wird und unabhängig vom Ergebnis in die Playoffs der Europa League eintritt, sind ihre türkischen Gegenstücke nach sinnlosen ersten fünf Spieltagen auf den vierten Platz bestimmt.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
