Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.