Bahia braucht mindestens einen Sieg in den letzten beiden Spielen, um nächstes Jahr in der Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A zu bleiben. Die nächste Gelegenheit kommt am Sonntag in der Fonte Nova Arena, wenn Fluminense Gastgeber ist.
Die Mannschaft aus Salvador hat im Ligaspiel aufeinanderfolgende Spiele verloren und liegt zwei Punkte unter der Abstiegslinie, während die Grippe mit einem Sieg und etwas Hilfe die Chance hat, auf die Top-Fünf-Position zu kommen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.