Beide wetteifern immer noch um den zweiten Platz in der Champions-League-Gruppe B, Porto und Atletico Madrid bereiten sich auf den Kampf im Estadio do Dragao am Dienstagabend vor.
Die Gastgeber belegen derzeit den zweiten und letzten Qualifikationsplatz für die KO-Phase, aber Atletico - und der AC Milan - liegen nur einen Punkt von Sergio Conceicaos Seite entfernt.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.