Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Braga had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
40.48% | 24.62% | 34.9% |
Both teams to score 58.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.91% | 44.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.53% | 66.47% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.21% | 21.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.01% | 54.99% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% | 24.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% | 59.24% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 8.74% 1-0 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.48% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |