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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
41.85% | 26.19% | 31.96% |
Both teams to score 52.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.27% | 51.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.5% | 73.5% |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.54% | 24.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.1% | 58.9% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% | 30.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% | 66.38% |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |