World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Gameweek 5
Jun 11, 2025 12.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jon Russell 26' goal
  • Warner Brown 37' goal
  • Warner Brown 73' goal

Jamaica vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jun 7, 2025 8.00pm
British Virgin I. 0 - 1 Jamaica

Guatemala

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jun 7, 2025 3.00am
Guatemala 4 - 2 Dominican Rep.

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jamaica win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Guatemala has a probability of 29.37% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Guatemala win is 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).

Result

Jamaica 45.4% (+0.39)
Draw 25.23% (+0.06)
Guatemala 29.37% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.53% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.21% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 48.78% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 29.11% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 70.89% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 14.06% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 85.94% (+0.28)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 78.5% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.5% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.46% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.54% (+0.02)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 69.46% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 30.53% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 33.24% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 66.76% (+0.65)

Score analysis

Jamaica 45.4%
Draw 25.23%
Guatemala 29.37%
Jamaica
1-0 @ 10.09% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.76% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.72% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.97% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.23%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 7.79% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.37%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 12, 2023 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cementos Progreso
  • yellowcard Maalique Foster 80'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 9, 2023 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • goal Amari'i Bell 51'
International Friendlies
Apr 15, 2023 1.00am
Nissan Stadium