Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%).
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
37.38% | 23.82% | 38.8% |
Both teams to score 62.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.03% | 39.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.67% | 62.33% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.5% | 21.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.45% | 54.55% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% | 20.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.52% | 53.47% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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